Monday, April 28, 2014

Integrating the Segregated Era With Strat-O-Matic Part Two

I've reached the half-way point of my Strat-O-Matic tournament made up of four all-star teams of players from baseball's segregated era. If you missed part one, you can read all about it here. The standings remain extremely tight:

Smiths 40-37
Gibsons 39-38
Charlestons 38-39
Ruths 37-40

The scoring remains ridiculously high, and actually went up a tick in the second quarter. Teams are scoring an average of 6.14 runs per game, the average ERA is 5.48, and average OPS .844.

I may have reached the pinnacle of baseball nerdery by calculating WAR for a Strat league. But the results show Oscar Charleston being the first-half MVP by a wide margin, not surprising since he's the leader in AVG, OBP, and SLG, and is a highly rated center fielder.* No pitcher is standing out from the crowd, but Satchel Paige, Lefty Grove, and John Donaldson are all in the top five for both ERA and FIP. 

The full leaderboards:


WAR - pitchers (avg. of RA9-WAR and FIP-WAR)
1. Lefty Grove 4.2
2. Smokey Williams 4.2
3. John Donaldson 4.0
4. Satchel Paige 3.9
5. Pete Alexander 3.5

ERA
1. Big Bill Foster 4.16
2. Lefty Grove 4.19
3. Slim Jones 4.39
4. John Donaldson 4.44
5. Satchel Paige 4.53

FIP
1. Satchel Paige 4.23
2. Pete Alexander 4.43
3. Smokey Williams 4.56
4. Lefty Grove 4.77
5. John Donaldson 4.83

BB+HBP%
1. Dazzy Vance 7.2%
2. Hilton Smith 7.5%
3. Lefty Grove 8.3%
4. Carl Hubbell 8.4%
5. Satchel Paige 8.4%

K%
1. Slim Jones 24.2%
2. Dazzy Vance 19.4%
3. Lefty Grove 19.2%
4. Satchel Paige 19.0%
5. Smokey Williams 16.9%

WAR - position players
1. Oscar Charleston 5.8
2. Rogers Hornsby 4.0
3. Ty Cobb 3.8
4. Jimmie Foxx 3.4
4. Babe Ruth 3.4

OPS
1. Oscar Charleston 1.185
2. Jimmie Foxx 1.080
3. Babe Ruth 1.055
4. Rogers Hornsby 1.046
5. Johnny Mize 1.029

OBP
1. Oscar Charleston .460
2. Ty Cobb .448
3. Oscar Johnson .423
4. Rogers Hornsby .423
5. Arky Vaughan .419

SLG
1. Oscar Charleston .725
2. Jimmie Foxx .657
2. Babe Ruth .637
4. Johnny Mize .627
5. Rogers Hornsby .623

AVG
1. Oscar Charleston .381
2. Ty Cobb .374
3. Oscar Johnson .362
4. Rogers Hornsby .353
5. Chino Smith .332

Home runs
1. Jimmie Foxx 27
2. Lou Gehrig 25
3. John Beckwith 23
4. Joe DiMaggio 22
4. Babe Ruth 22

Hits
1. Ty Cobb 126
2. Oscar Charleston 122
3. Rogers Hornsby 116
4. Oscar Johnson 115
5. Chino Smith 108

BB+HBP
1. Jimmie Foxx 54
2. Arky Vaughan 51
3. Babe Ruth 49
4. Oscar Charleston 47
5. Lou Gehrig 46
5. Charles Blackwell 46

Doubles
1. Oscar Charleston 36
2. Ty Cobb 28
3. Oscar Johnson 25
3. Chino Smith 25
5. John Beckwith 21

Triples
1. Oscar Charleston 13
2. Ty Cobb 10
2. Oscar Johnson 10
2. Al Simmons 10
5. Biz Mackey 9
5. Judy Johnson 9

Runs
1. Oscar Charleston 85
2. Rogers Hornsby 80
3. Ty Cobb 74
4. Lou Gehrig 73
4. John Beckwith 73

RBI
1. Jimmie Foxx 91
2. Joe DiMaggio 76
3. Oscar Charleston 71
3. Buck Leonard 71
5. Rogers Hornsby 68

*If you want to follow me down the WAR for Strat rabbit hole, I calculated the defensive element not by what actually has happened in the games, but by the player defense ratings. Just pulling some conservative numbers out of thin air, I decided to translate Strat's 1-5 rating system like this:

1 = 5 UZR/150
2 = 2.5 UZR/150
3 = 0 UZR/150
4 = -2.5 UZR/150
5 = -5 UZR/150

No baserunning element was included because I'm extremely conservative with the running game, almost never stealing or going for the extra base. (Partly because I don't like risking outs on the bases, but also because the league is jammed full of sluggers.)

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